World Politics · resolved market
Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9a3cf85c893ded75edda6efbdc8eb3bb61e8f539b7234ecaf836e3e4a5b1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,610 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23cb…3213backed Yes | 3c | 5,085$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…c5f8backed Yes | 2c | 3,371$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,945$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 2c | 2,640$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…9294backed Yes | 2c | 2,423$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…c25bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,412$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…5e23backed Yes | 3c | 2,409$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…fd45backed Yes | 3c | 2,343$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ea50backed Yes | 1c | 2,318$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…f652backed Yes | 3c | 2,299$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…6adbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,288$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…dc54backed Yes | 3c | 2,188$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…ed5abacked Yes | 3c | 2,179$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…c790backed Yes | 2c | 2,134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…738abacked Yes | 3c | 2,113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…5adebacked Yes | 3c | 2,088$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…e1f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,976$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…8aacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,914$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +557.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…5aecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,902$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…31eebacked Yes | 3c | 1,901$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3055…da74backed Yes | 3c | 1,887$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…71f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,886$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,785$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…a493backed Yes | 2c | 1,785$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…3135backed Yes | 3c | 1,726$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…7c2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,668$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…923cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,570$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…7497backed Yes | 3c | 1,519$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…4285backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…00bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,421$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ca67backed Yes | 2c | 1,392$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…f10fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,366$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…fbb0backed Yes | 2c | 1,321$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…4f22backed Yes | 3c | 1,271$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…a3acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,260$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…44fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,251$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…0218backed Yes | 4c | 1,249$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…5430backed Yes | 2c | 1,234$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…dbd5backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d4d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…5fb1backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…53c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,049$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…3575backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…7877backed Yes | 4c | 950$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +735.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…eb76backed Yes | 2c | 948$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…066ebacked Yes | 2c | 944$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…3c5dbacked Yes | 3c | 906$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…30b7backed Yes | 3c | 904$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…3855backed Yes | 2c | 903$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 6cpaid | +1,014.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…33bebacked Yes | 3c | 903$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…fafebacked Yes | 4c | 870$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…5341backed Yes | 4c | 860$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aa0cbacked Yes | 4c | 849$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…2ce8backed Yes | 2c | 783$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…24eabacked Yes | 2c | 771$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…12c0backed Yes | 4c | 755$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…f825backed Yes | 2c | 753$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c607backed Yes | 2c | 743$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…3324backed Yes | 4c | 743$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9466backed Yes | 3c | 736$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…5c94backed Yes | 4c | 704$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,090.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…af1ebacked Yes | 3c | 696$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…bcc7backed Yes | 4c | 693$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc6…51e5backed Yes | 4c | 691$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863e…1424backed Yes | 3c | 681$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…d3a9backed Yes | 4c | 671$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…6230backed Yes | 3c | 651$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…b3d4backed Yes | 3c | 644$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…9c76backed Yes | 3c | 634$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…1754backed Yes | 4c | 616$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…c564backed Yes | 4c | 594$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…07abbacked Yes | 4c | 590$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +363%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…9f38backed Yes | 3c | 576$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…5cabbacked Yes | 4c | 574$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…20d8backed Yes | 4c | 563$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…ca43backed Yes | 3c | 561$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…cb0cbacked Yes | 4c | 560$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0d79backed Yes | 3c | 559$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…ea7bbacked Yes | 4c | 529$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…7e3cbacked Yes | 4c | 527$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…d39fbacked Yes | 3c | 456$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Yes | 4c | 358.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?this page
- Will Alejandro Reyes win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Paul Coca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
- Will Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.