Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5618dba641fe80687bee9ba1ea4150f41e99385d949100d8db224db535db0e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,319 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tianjin Pioneers | 0c | 10,284$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 66c | 6,686$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.01 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 36c | 4,336$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 79c | 3,119$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 2,452$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tianjin Pioneers | 32c | 942.39$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tianjin Pioneers | 32c | 778.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 36c | 679.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 71c | 494.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 463.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 459.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Tianjin Pioneers | 30c | 456.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 65c | 442.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 74c | 407.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 65c | 369.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Tianjin Pioneers | 22c | 366.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 7c | 358.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 68c | 349.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 327.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 322.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 66c | 293$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 241$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 210.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 200.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 22c | 191$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 186.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 19c | 184.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 163.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 154.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 147.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 40c | 134.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 67c | 130.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 124$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 64c | 123.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Tianjin Pioneers | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 68c | 87.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Tianjin Pioneers | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 75.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 71.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 28c | 69.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 71c | 69.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 31c | 65.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 63.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tianjin Pioneers | 28c | 46.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Tianjin Pioneers | 29c | 42.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 71c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.