Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa182a6c86cb5f419e45c2b10ad6b100d420cbb3e22839a144fe8751e492de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 5c | 6,489$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.82 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 3,417$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 10c | 921.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 839.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 729.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 46c | 657.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…36cabacked Yes | 33c | 553.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 37c | 544.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 35c | 447.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 42c | 408.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7aa0backed Yes | 25c | 372.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 3c | 366.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 358.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 347.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 65c | 288.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 262.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 260.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 19c | 242.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 234.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 205.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 13c | 204.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 197.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 40c | 174.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 60c | 172.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 169.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 7c | 168$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 41c | 154.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 62c | 153.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…96f0backed No | 71c | 145.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 27c | 142.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 139.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 27c | 119.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 114.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 22c | 111.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 70c | 109.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 62c | 107.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…32f6backed Yes | 45c | 106.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 104.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 60c | 103.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 40c | 98.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 30c | 96.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 51c | 92.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 24c | 86.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 19c | 85.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 33c | 81.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 34c | 76.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 32c | 72.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked Yes | 20c | 67.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 69c | 66.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 62c | 64.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 38c | 62.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 39c | 60.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 57c | 58.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 33c | 56.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 56.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 32c | 54.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 39c | 54.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Yes | 34c | 54.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 53.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 65c | 51.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 51.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…115fbacked No | 65c | 51.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 39c | 50.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 66c | 50.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…e8e0backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…eb43backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…62c5backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…b008backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 46c | 49.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 33c | 49.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 50c | 48.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 35c | 46.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 46.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8d70backed Yes | 24c | 46.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 46.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…52f4backed Yes | 24c | 43.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 33c | 43.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 42.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 35c | 40.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 78c | 38.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 73c | 37.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 27c | 37.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…a787backed No | 65c | 37.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 33c | 36.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 65c | 35.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…aee0backed No | 59c | 34.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 64c | 34.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 51c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…02d0backed Yes | 35c | 30.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 42c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.