Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101f5ec361bc0dad17eb41c830fe282176955388db6f808d588e7e137a0e492f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 5c | 2,366$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,265$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 4c | 1,213$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,060$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 10c | 909.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 76c | 907.49$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 6c | 868.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 616.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 534$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 509.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 76c | 477.27$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 16c | 470.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 27c | 448.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 26c | 344.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 327.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 321.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 306.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7aa0backed Yes | 31c | 303.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 262.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 79c | 249.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 12c | 236.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 208.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 199.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 69c | 183.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…36cabacked Yes | 9c | 179.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked Yes | 8c | 179.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 9c | 177.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 176.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 18c | 170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 154.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 27c | 142$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 12c | 126.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 10c | 125.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…2f2bbacked Yes | 27c | 124.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 13c | 121.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 116.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 115.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…785ebacked Yes | 22c | 105.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 17c | 100.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 30c | 100.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 30c | 96.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 70c | 93.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…0e0bbacked Yes | 31c | 90.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 73.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 24c | 72.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 24c | 72.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 63.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 17c | 62.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 62.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 61.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 58.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 25c | 57.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 21c | 57.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked Yes | 25c | 55.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 54.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 76c | 54.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 28c | 54.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 25c | 51.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 22c | 50.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…62c5backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 48.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…cb41backed Yes | 30c | 46.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…cdabbacked Yes | 26c | 45.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 80c | 44.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 37.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 29c | 36.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 70c | 33.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 76c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…9cd6backed No | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…eab4backed No | 78c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 68c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 68c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…316fbacked No | 72c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 76c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…e90bbacked No | 77c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.