Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0815986e0d935d7557e7cbd632e55a66e4a1fed13884dcd4bbedb37cb32dda70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 8c | 7,228$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 11c | 7,145$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.24 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 3c | 4,685$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…4f84backed No | 2c | 2,656$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 2,507$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 6c | 2,457$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 7c | 1,990$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 19c | 1,774$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 63c | 1,345$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.49 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 46c | 1,004$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed Yes | 43c | 941.81$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.94 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 3c | 938.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 75c | 911.01$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 41c | 667.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 20c | 640.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.51 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 545.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.36 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 64c | 515.59$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 33c | 467.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 26c | 444.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.5 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 443.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 15c | 397.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 62c | 372.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…a294backed No | 4c | 349.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 336.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 327.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 4c | 309.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 299.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 298.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 44c | 292.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 6c | 281.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 262.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 7c | 254.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 9c | 228.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 219.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 30c | 217.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…8b8dbacked Yes | 16c | 209.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…e901backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 15c | 199.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 55c | 191.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 21c | 190.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 7c | 190.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 48c | 182.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked No | 70c | 175.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 24c | 169.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 19c | 161.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 29c | 158.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 53c | 154.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 14c | 152.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 33c | 150.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 149.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 146.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 63c | 134.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 15c | 131.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 64c | 131.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 79c | 123.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked Yes | 23c | 116.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 23c | 107.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 13c | 107.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…6df4backed Yes | 13c | 104.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 22c | 103.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 18c | 102.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 100.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 15c | 99.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 12c | 99.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 13c | 96.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 39c | 95.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 73c | 95.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 16c | 91.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 21c | 91.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 43c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…7723backed Yes | 37c | 89.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 53c | 88.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 41c | 85.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c1…8c40backed Yes | 21c | 85.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 50c | 83.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked Yes | 17c | 81.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…a9ebbacked Yes | 51c | 81.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Yes | 19c | 80.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 30c | 80.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 20c | 78.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 41c | 76.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…8834backed Yes | 53c | 76.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 32c | 73.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 64c | 73.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 50c | 72.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 50c | 71.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 74c | 70.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked No | 42c | 69.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 19c | 68.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 57c | 67.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 58c | 66.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 76c | 65.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 27c | 64.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 62c | 63.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.