TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fujian Sturgeonsof Jiangsu Dragons, Fujian Sturgeons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jiangsu Dragons7c17,444$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6613046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons13c8,730$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.26116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jiangsu Dragons9c3,886$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.338611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Jiangsu Dragons38c3,810$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.842748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Fujian Sturgeons62c3,599$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.745360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Fujian Sturgeons65c2,312$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.182842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fujian Sturgeons79c2,066$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Jiangsu Dragons15c1,947$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1113220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Jiangsu Dragons7c1,820$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed Jiangsu Dragons1c1,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jiangsu Dragons26c1,513$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fujian Sturgeons63c1,512$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.365151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jiangsu Dragons30c1,508$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7837052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Jiangsu Dragons34c1,423$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5414037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027b…019cbacked Fujian Sturgeons73c1,338$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.085100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jiangsu Dragons29c1,185$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2754251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8c…cbb0backed Jiangsu Dragons10c933.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jiangsu Dragons38c793.21$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.554344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…8784backed Jiangsu Dragons20c751.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Jiangsu Dragons37c740.01$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.52536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Jiangsu Dragons42c697.18$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.478936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Fujian Sturgeons74c665.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Jiangsu Dragons38c642.85$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Fujian Sturgeons67c551.48$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.662927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Jiangsu Dragons37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…7303backed Jiangsu Dragons37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Jiangsu Dragons41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Fujian Sturgeons70c459.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180b…14f9backed Jiangsu Dragons23c453.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Fujian Sturgeons60c383.26$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+175.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Jiangsu Dragons20c334.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1310926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fujian Sturgeons78c305.63$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2734344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Fujian Sturgeons65c302.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.813243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Jiangsu Dragons20c300.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.973161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons35c299.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9924430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jiangsu Dragons23c281.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Jiangsu Dragons40c272.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.931625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb36e…dab1backed Fujian Sturgeons60c271$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Jiangsu Dragons36c268.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.661118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Jiangsu Dragons36c268.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Jiangsu Dragons19c234.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9721535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Jiangsu Dragons42c207.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.864920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Jiangsu Dragons40c204.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jiangsu Dragons39c199.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.055446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Jiangsu Dragons43c169.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.052540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Jiangsu Dragons35c164.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Fujian Sturgeons61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fujian Sturgeons69c158.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5519748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Fujian Sturgeons65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Jiangsu Dragons39c146.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Fujian Sturgeons60c143.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Fujian Sturgeons72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jiangsu Dragons37c130.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.014042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Jiangsu Dragons14c122$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.716137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Fujian Sturgeons59c117.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Fujian Sturgeons60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0413751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jiangsu Dragons35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.832536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Fujian Sturgeons72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Jiangsu Dragons37c80.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.953164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Fujian Sturgeons75c79.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.14374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fujian Sturgeons67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.746844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Fujian Sturgeons70c75.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Fujian Sturgeons65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.363161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Jiangsu Dragons30c71.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1820936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Fujian Sturgeons63c69.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.624165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Jiangsu Dragons39c67.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.175453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Jiangsu Dragons23c66.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.986470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jiangsu Dragons24c66.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.699551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Fujian Sturgeons63c61.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Jiangsu Dragons34c60.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af0…011cbacked Jiangsu Dragons20c59.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Jiangsu Dragons27c56.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Jiangsu Dragons30c56.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons32c56.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.277241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jiangsu Dragons37c53.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.776848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Jiangsu Dragons25c50.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Fujian Sturgeons64c49.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Jiangsu Dragons37c48.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons31c47.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5625517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Fujian Sturgeons60c46.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.544131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Jiangsu Dragons35c45.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Fujian Sturgeons61c42.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5226935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3397…ac80backed Jiangsu Dragons27c39.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Fujian Sturgeons66c38.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Jiangsu Dragons39c36.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Fujian Sturgeons59c34.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Jiangsu Dragons42c33.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jiangsu Dragons35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.527338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Fujian Sturgeons59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Fujian Sturgeons61c23.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Fujian Sturgeons63c23.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Fujian Sturgeons64c22.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.936100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Fujian Sturgeons71c20.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.943148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Fujian Sturgeons71c20.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.935541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Fujian Sturgeons71c20.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Fujian Sturgeons71c20.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.851838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Fujian Sturgeons71c20.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Fujian Sturgeons63c19.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.247356.2%41 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…6aa8backed Fujian Sturgeons76c19.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Fujian Sturgeons71c18.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.