Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a4b89f84155d5480fb8539db0af8188aed23a5d231db7810da8c0b3fa170d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Rune Eaters, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 56c | 95,133$52,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,220.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 23,230$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.31 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed GamerLegion | 59c | 20,175$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,174.87 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 18,009$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,214.18 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 12,689$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.81 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 12,430$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,502.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 10,836$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.33 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed GamerLegion | 77c | 10,093$7,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.26 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 9,183$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.24 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 9,134$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.78 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 8,237$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 8,079$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.78 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed GamerLegion | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.94 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 7,059$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.86 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 6,600$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed GamerLegion | 59c | 6,500$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 6,498$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed GamerLegion | 50c | 4,975$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.25 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GamerLegion | 63c | 4,783$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.22 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 4,649$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 4,424$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 4,423$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion | 59c | 4,250$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.5 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 4,233$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.25 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 3,911$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.3 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 3,755$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.36 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion | 76c | 3,545$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.07 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked GamerLegion | 39c | 3,416$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.38 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 3,147$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.27 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 3,015$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.87 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,604$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.71 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed GamerLegion | 57c | 2,602$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.92 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,439$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 2,420$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 2,390$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.69 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 2,385$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.75 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GamerLegion | 54c | 2,138$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.26 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 2,034$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.34 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,942$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.15 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,780$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,740$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,727$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.91 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,650$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,582$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.52 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,544$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.48 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed GamerLegion | 59c | 1,533$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.93 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,527$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,400$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,306$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.34 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,278$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.01 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,250$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,158$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,089$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.54 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GamerLegion | 56c | 1,072$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,064$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 1,042$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,040$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,023$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 1,004$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Rune Eaters | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 983.43$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed GamerLegion | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 934$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 901.14$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.91 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed GamerLegion | 48c | 895.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed GamerLegion | 56c | 892.42$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters | 9c | 883.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked GamerLegion | 57c | 879.1$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.98 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 863.57$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 863.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 793$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 782.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 768.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.19 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GamerLegion | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Rune Eaters | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed GamerLegion | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 649.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 620$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 587.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked GamerLegion | 58c | 562.08$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 546.27$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed GamerLegion | 34c | 541.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.18 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 541.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.