Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4aff5a8278ddd920d2f239f45f5150a7779971c55ee5c41059d22609d28966d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $568,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 54c | 68,794$36,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,972.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 29,246$15,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,376 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 16,696$6,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,518.73 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 15,104$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.01 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 12,424$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.93 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed GamerLegion | 42c | 11,750$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.6 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 11,143$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 10,217$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.47 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 9,978$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.94 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 9,674$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 7,253$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.81 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 6,750$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.4 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 6,427$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 5,714$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.19 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 5,454$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.86 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 4,947$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.44 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GamerLegion | 63c | 4,787$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.91 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 4,158$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed GamerLegion | 41c | 4,039$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.87 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed GamerLegion | 63c | 3,545$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 3,395$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.67 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed GamerLegion | 5c | 3,249$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 3,116$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.05 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 3,000$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.33 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed GamerLegion | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed GamerLegion | 58c | 2,911$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.42 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion | 32c | 2,814$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 2,809$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 2,777$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.65 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,392$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 2,356$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.51 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 13c | 2,340$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,295$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.93 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed GamerLegion | 61c | 2,203$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.59 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion | 33c | 2,182$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.16 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked GamerLegion | 58c | 2,069$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed GamerLegion | 48c | 2,064$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 2,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.84 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed GamerLegion | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed GamerLegion | 17c | 1,854$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 1,780$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed GamerLegion | 61c | 1,741$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.78 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,680$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.9 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,632$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 1,627$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed GamerLegion | 13c | 1,588$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 1,569$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.7 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.07 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked GamerLegion | 3c | 1,545$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 1,500$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 1,499$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,489$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.35 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked GamerLegion | 30c | 1,453$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 1,451$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.49 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,400$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed GamerLegion | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,369$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.1 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 1,368$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 1,350$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.28 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,296$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.41 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GamerLegion | 48c | 1,262$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 1,250$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked GamerLegion | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed GamerLegion | 38c | 1,150$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,132$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.81 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,128$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.08 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,052$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.77 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 1,031$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.22 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed GamerLegion | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed GamerLegion | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 999.99$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 998.88$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.34 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 986.98$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.06 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked GamerLegion | 42c | 980$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.28 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed GamerLegion | 56c | 979.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.79 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed GamerLegion | 17c | 963.57$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 935.25$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.25 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed GamerLegion | 3c | 933.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 896.87$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.87 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed GamerLegion | 50c | 868.34$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.89 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 833.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 833$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed GamerLegion | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 809.81$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…daa2backed GamerLegion | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 800$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 786.63$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.14 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 782.6$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 750$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 749.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.