Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5ef1917495d69083741ecf5a4ac3c42a480844b8b58cb5f21add29e2329c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Inner Circle, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 19c | 18,065$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.44 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle | 24c | 6,256$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.76 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 5,268$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Inner Circle | 19c | 4,366$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.19 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 4,113$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.42 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 3,375$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 3,258$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 3,250$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Inner Circle | 17c | 2,350$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 23c | 1,596$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 23c | 1,409$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 21c | 1,363$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 1,289$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.67 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 1,220$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Inner Circle | 19c | 1,145$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,046$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Inner Circle | 17c | 1,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Inner Circle | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Inner Circle | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 12c | 988.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Inner Circle | 25c | 955.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 955.61$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 936.57$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Inner Circle | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 23c | 698$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Inner Circle | 22c | 449.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Inner Circle | 23c | 333$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 316$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Inner Circle | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Inner Circle | 21c | 279.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 268.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 265.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Inner Circle | 22c | 249.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Inner Circle | 25c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 232.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 223.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 213.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Inner Circle | 24c | 208.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Inner Circle | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 180.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 172.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Inner Circle | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 22c | 159.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 129.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…abd3backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 124.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Inner Circle | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 103.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Inner Circle | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…02eabacked Inner Circle | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Inner Circle | 23c | 84.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 82.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 78.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 68.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle | 22c | 67.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 67.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 58.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Inner Circle | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Inner Circle | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…da2bbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 35.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.