Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb07d894f95ef028218fd01e2235c666e632ea3c29fe0eabcef71400f637a5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Inner Circle, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 26,418$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,418.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 21,925$17,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.46 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 21c | 18,082$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.82 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 16,124$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.35 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 15,941$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.74 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 30c | 13,286$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Inner Circle | 25c | 10,604$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.65 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 10,151$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Inner Circle | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 6,666$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 5,697$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.66 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 4,991$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.03 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 4,696$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.36 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 4,320$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.14 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 26c | 4,175$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.57 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 4,099$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.35 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Inner Circle | 18c | 3,910$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 3,690$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.37 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 3,224$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.71 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 3,095$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.91 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Inner Circle | 23c | 3,064$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 3,036$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Inner Circle | 23c | 2,760$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 2,738$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.84 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 2,704$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Inner Circle | 25c | 2,554$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 25c | 2,411$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.15 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle | 26c | 2,250$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 17c | 2,207$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.83 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 23c | 2,021$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Inner Circle | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 1,959$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.33 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 1,845$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,827$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.57 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Inner Circle | 29c | 1,644$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.47 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 27c | 1,600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,550$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Inner Circle | 24c | 1,498$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.37 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 1,431$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Inner Circle | 26c | 1,336$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 1,218$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Inner Circle | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 1,126$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,109$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,107$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Inner Circle | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Inner Circle | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Inner Circle | 25c | 998.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Inner Circle | 28c | 899.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Inner Circle | 27c | 886.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Inner Circle | 25c | 860.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Inner Circle | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Inner Circle | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 765.81$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 764.88$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Inner Circle | 29c | 760.87$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 716.01$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Inner Circle | 16c | 682$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 30c | 661$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Inner Circle | 26c | 654.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Inner Circle | 25c | 598.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Inner Circle | 4c | 555.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 523$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Inner Circle | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 491.79$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 484.83$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Inner Circle | 27c | 482.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 463$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Inner Circle | 27c | 455.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Inner Circle | 26c | 450.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 437$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 428$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle | 31c | 419.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 415.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 393.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 381.9$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 369.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Inner Circle | 23c | 368.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Inner Circle | 23c | 342.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Inner Circle | 30c | 324$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 322.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 314.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.