CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87f26084d36d9a8e38a1cc6c88479c6a87fe205df837934b36719e206248cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof TheMongolz, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed TheMongolz | 49c | 6,000$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.77 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Liquid | 55c | 5,004$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.66 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…0632backed TheMongolz | 45c | 4,889$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Liquid | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Liquid | 51c | 4,433$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.13 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 45c | 2,976$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 51c | 2,936$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.41 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 2,911$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.73 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Liquid | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz | 51c | 2,096$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.43 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,000$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.72 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Liquid | 54c | 1,847$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.49 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Liquid | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,730$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed TheMongolz | 52c | 1,521$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.03 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Liquid | 52c | 1,332$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.39 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid | 57c | 1,250$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Liquid | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,152$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.37 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…4ca0backed Liquid | 47c | 1,129$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed TheMongolz | 48c | 1,034$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,017$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.52 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,001$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.59 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Liquid | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Liquid | 53c | 787.9$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 748.89$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed TheMongolz | 49c | 724.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…73b3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 517.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed TheMongolz | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed TheMongolz | 47c | 319.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed TheMongolz | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 304.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Liquid | 52c | 275.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed TheMongolz | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed TheMongolz | 50c | 254.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed TheMongolz | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Liquid | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed TheMongolz | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 212.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 171.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed TheMongolz | 62c | 170.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Liquid | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Liquid | 55c | 155.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Liquid | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 46c | 142.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Liquid | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…1456backed TheMongolz | 74c | 135.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 132.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 129.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Liquid | 59c | 125.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed TheMongolz | 44c | 116.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Liquid | 70c | 114.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Liquid | 56c | 109.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed TheMongolz | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed TheMongolz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Liquid | 53c | 101.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 101.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Liquid | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Liquid | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed TheMongolz | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Liquid | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…03d7backed TheMongolz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed TheMongolz | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed TheMongolz | 50c | 98.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed TheMongolz | 49c | 97.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Liquid | 53c | 89.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked TheMongolz | 49c | 87.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid | 40c | 79.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked TheMongolz | 66c | 75.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed TheMongolz | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Liquid | 51c | 73.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed TheMongolz | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Liquid | 56c | 56.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed TheMongolz | 45c | 56.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…fe9bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Liquid | 51c | 43.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked TheMongolz | 43c | 42.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed TheMongolz | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Liquid | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…6b0dbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Liquid | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…7befbacked Liquid | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed TheMongolz | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Liquid | 55c | 27.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…7d16backed TheMongolz | 45c | 25.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2197…6d70backed TheMongolz | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.