CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b3ae56f7331e2e315486613fee1a2e010b47d0accbfdc927ad3df0cb467354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 4,484$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.18 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 43c | 4,224$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.89 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 3,465$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 50c | 2,822$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.99 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 66c | 1,850$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 33c | 1,201$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.96 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 57c | 1,063$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.15 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 57c | 953$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 58c | 851.82$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Under | 56c | 742.19$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 50c | 614$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 540.41$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 61c | 509.55$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Under | 67c | 500$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Under | 61c | 367.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Under | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 52c | 216.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Over | 56c | 216$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 35c | 214.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 210$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Under | 55c | 202.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 201.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed Under | 54c | 185.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 51c | 183.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 48c | 179.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Over | 51c | 143.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 56c | 141.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 48c | 129.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Under | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 48c | 102.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 101.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 67.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Over | 52c | 60.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 45c | 41.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 57c | 39.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Over | 40c | 34.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 47c | 32.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 45c | 30.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Under | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…6b0dbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 40c | 25.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…9291backed Over | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Under | 61c | 22.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 76c | 17.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ApaiN won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.