College Football · resolved market
Kansas vs. Baylor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d964959f575de80c55ef725c7023f47a0865096519d8517b941dfa606e6698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylorof Kansas, Baylor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Baylor | 45c | 5,995$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Kansas | 55c | 5,045$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Kansas | 52c | 1,064$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Baylor | 48c | 1,051$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.78 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Kansas | 55c | 654.55$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kansas | 3c | 604.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Kansas | 66c | 461.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kansas | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Baylor | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Kansas | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Baylor | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Kansas | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Baylor | 46c | 186.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Baylor | 48c | 130.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Kansas | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Baylor | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Kansas | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kansas | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Baylor | 57c | 74.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kansas | 51c | 55.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Baylor | 47c | 54.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Baylor | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…e89ebacked Kansas | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Kansas | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Baylor | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Baylor | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Kansas | 71c | 35.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Kansas | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Baylor | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Kansas | 42c | 25.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…266ebacked Baylor | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.