TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esports

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfcb0…c865backed Top Esports33c16,808$5,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,521.767230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Top Esports40c15,732$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,350.1931036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Bilibili Gaming69c13,739$9,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.497047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Bilibili Gaming79c11,699$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.7131661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Bilibili Gaming57c8,276$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Bilibili Gaming77c7,878$6,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Top Esports3c6,760$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.440651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Top Esports43c6,325$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.5836433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Bilibili Gaming59c4,983$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.2166947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Top Esports43c4,452$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.327346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Bilibili Gaming58c3,063$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.551,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports23c3,057$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.471,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Top Esports40c3,018$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.061,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Bilibili Gaming62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1405448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Top Esports42c2,722$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.247357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Bilibili Gaming76c2,428$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.726058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Bilibili Gaming65c2,367$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.7612045.8%55 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports29c2,231$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.733,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Bilibili Gaming59c1,748$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.8712360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e98…ae0fbacked Top Esports27c1,580$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43112152.1%63 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Bilibili Gaming62c1,500$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5695547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Top Esports42c1,349$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.3111452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Top Esports11c1,310$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.217516%12 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Top Esports42c1,208$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3453954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Top Esports32c1,020$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9935431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Bilibili Gaming55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012644.4%56 W · 70 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bilibili Gaming59c897.34$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8638837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Top Esports42c860$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.25937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Bilibili Gaming59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4615551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Top Esports46c809.78$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3691330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…4bcabacked Top Esports39c767.71$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.811147.7%53 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Bilibili Gaming59c733.22$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.627149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Top Esports5c719$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7989810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Bilibili Gaming59c701.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.935855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bilibili Gaming55c700$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29479653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bilibili Gaming58c500$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ec…3f30backed Top Esports13c460$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.68726.4%23 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Bilibili Gaming58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16827452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Bilibili Gaming71c398$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8652538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c0…f7dfbacked Bilibili Gaming58c395.96$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Bilibili Gaming65c386.98$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5213747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Bilibili Gaming57c351.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4815370.6%108 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bilibili Gaming68c338.32$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3220563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bilibili Gaming56c335.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5932350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Top Esports46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Bilibili Gaming63c299.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11012361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Top Esports42c292.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9713345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Bilibili Gaming60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013063.8%83 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…3db0backed Bilibili Gaming59c249.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7921629.2%63 W · 153 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc840…63c2backed Bilibili Gaming62c240$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d44…c828backed Bilibili Gaming68c222.53$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.662450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd0…652bbacked Bilibili Gaming59c213.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.734632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Bilibili Gaming68c206.95$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.246258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…755ebacked Top Esports34c206$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Bilibili Gaming59c203.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3814044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Bilibili Gaming56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.236331.1%113 W · 250 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafc…c66ebacked Bilibili Gaming55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bilibili Gaming59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4925752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Bilibili Gaming56c144$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9314338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed Bilibili Gaming58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.312250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports16c115.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.512,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…99bebacked Bilibili Gaming75c102.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.286656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Bilibili Gaming59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6915543.9%68 W · 87 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Bilibili Gaming75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0e9…c21ebacked Top Esports25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Bilibili Gaming60c98.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.337057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Top Esports11c91.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.324723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd93…bd6fbacked Bilibili Gaming59c85.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.083745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Bilibili Gaming59c82.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7113960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Top Esports44c68.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305131.4%16 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…8732backed Bilibili Gaming59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Top Esports40c66.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.679127.5%25 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd39…b24cbacked Top Esports46c65.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Bilibili Gaming59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6536465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Top Esports24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.466116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Bilibili Gaming60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017466.7%116 W · 58 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Top Esports33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.644353.5%23 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Top Esports42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Bilibili Gaming55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Bilibili Gaming68c44.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0613260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…8d1bbacked Bilibili Gaming58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485154.9%28 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Top Esports36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.740916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Bilibili Gaming72c14.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.933554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.