Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: SK Gaming vs. Fnatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c34d26ffa4e8a9502933d95a1f5308384af770df7e0bbd42379c8b1d1c2a18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof SK Gaming, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SK Gaming | 5c | 14,134$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SK Gaming | 1c | 7,876$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed SK Gaming | 4c | 6,249$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed SK Gaming | 10c | 3,652$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.29 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SK Gaming | 11c | 3,606$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked SK Gaming | 10c | 2,774$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed SK Gaming | 4c | 1,146$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked SK Gaming | 4c | 1,096$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed SK Gaming | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed SK Gaming | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked SK Gaming | 8c | 912.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed SK Gaming | 4c | 535.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed SK Gaming | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed SK Gaming | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked SK Gaming | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed SK Gaming | 6c | 241.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed SK Gaming | 9c | 219.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed SK Gaming | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed SK Gaming | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed SK Gaming | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed SK Gaming | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.