WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05bc99721f1f5c09fe8e885747f81c0002d3f5bf97199d1133eaf9805e9fd419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Sun, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 23c | 10,221$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.1 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sun | 14c | 7,382$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sun | 13c | 6,985$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.1 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Aces | 68c | 6,734$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 15c | 6,420$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.29 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Sun | 8c | 5,023$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 26c | 4,704$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.57 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Sun | 18c | 3,089$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Sun | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Sun | 16c | 2,260$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 14c | 1,801$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sun | 13c | 1,575$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Aces | 78c | 1,559$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sun | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Sun | 31c | 1,426$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Sun | 14c | 1,226$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sun | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Sun | 16c | 962.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 34c | 930.19$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sun | 19c | 863.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Aces | 78c | 845.56$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 15c | 671.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Sun | 24c | 599.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aces | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Sun | 17c | 409.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sun | 29c | 404$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Sun | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Sun | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Sun | 30c | 334$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Sun | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Sun | 29c | 310$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…ee31backed Sun | 14c | 309.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Sun | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked Sun | 10c | 202.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Aces | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sun | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 13c | 199.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Sun | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Sun | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 12c | 141.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…e7d3backed Sun | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sun | 19c | 128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Sun | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sun | 14c | 99.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…d6c4backed Sun | 13c | 88.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Aces | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Aces | 77c | 80.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Sun | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Aces | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…e581backed Aces | 78c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.