CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: FUT vs. B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb0278017f2b30cf8931fcf0ab834ba6ba38668f92362854c61bf9aaa960e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of FUT, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed FUT | 4c | 1,526$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT | 2c | 1,343$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FUT | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed B8 | 56c | 888$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FUT | 37c | 833.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked B8 | 64c | 520.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed B8 | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FUT | 16c | 350$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked FUT | 19c | 321.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed FUT | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed FUT | 41c | 268.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked FUT | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FUT | 22c | 208.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FUT | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed B8 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked B8 | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed B8 | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed B8 | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked B8 | 79c | 131.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed B8 | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed B8 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed B8 | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked B8 | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked B8 | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.