WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb212fa8dd013722dca29205309ca5cfba1f875c392dd37fc77dcf465ce78a950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sun, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x538e…c195backed Sparks | 76c | 14,728$11,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 31c | 11,539$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.7 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sparks | 60c | 8,778$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 19c | 6,691$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.9 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Sparks | 80c | 6,196$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 20c | 6,157$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.48 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 34c | 3,890$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.17 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sun | 24c | 3,062$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.35 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Sun | 33c | 2,290$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Sun | 23c | 2,182$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sun | 29c | 2,065$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Sparks | 57c | 1,934$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 68c | 1,849$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sun | 13c | 1,686$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sparks | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sun | 16c | 1,488$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Sun | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sun | 33c | 1,052$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Sun | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sun | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Sun | 45c | 827$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sun | 7c | 750$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 18c | 706$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Sun | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Sun | 18c | 662.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sun | 13c | 650$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 18c | 568.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sun | 17c | 515.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 20c | 503.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 20c | 502.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sparks | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8274backed Sun | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sun | 15c | 499.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Sun | 17c | 407.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sun | 16c | 376.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Sun | 18c | 339.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 70c | 323.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sun | 16c | 294.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Sun | 30c | 219.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Sun | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Sun | 17c | 212.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sun | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Sun | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Sparks | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Sparks | 71c | 196.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Sparks | 73c | 170.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…6eb7backed Sun | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 76c | 155.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…792abacked Sun | 38c | 146.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Sun | 17c | 141.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked Sparks | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 18c | 139.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Sparks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Sun | 30c | 136.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Sparks | 74c | 128.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sun | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Sparks | 75c | 115.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Sun | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 16c | 105.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Sun | 24c | 100.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…fd58backed Sun | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sun | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Sun | 34c | 80.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Sparks | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Sparks | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Sun | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…eaeabacked Sun | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sparks | 74c | 56.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks | 74c | 54.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sun | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…a569backed Sun | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Sun | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Sun | 34c | 32.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Sun | 40c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…0f32backed Sparks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Sparks | 77c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Sun | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…f025backed Sparks | 77c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.