Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Nongshim Red Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7429919eeb1dc17cce4dd49232128a4815aeeafee33da76ea51ba94b9c85eeaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwhaof Hanwha, Nongshim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nongshim | 8c | 73,615$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,084.04 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 7c | 29,004$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.42 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Nongshim | 9c | 12,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Nongshim | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Nongshim | 4c | 5,950$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nongshim | 9c | 4,917$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.56 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Nongshim | 5c | 4,240$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nongshim | 8c | 4,159$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.69 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Nongshim | 12c | 3,024$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nongshim | 15c | 2,536$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nongshim | 7c | 1,388$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Nongshim | 10c | 1,369$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nongshim | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nongshim | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Nongshim | 10c | 860.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 12c | 650$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 9c | 598$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nongshim | 9c | 570.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Nongshim | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Nongshim | 8c | 522.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Nongshim | 8c | 420$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nongshim | 8c | 358$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Nongshim | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Nongshim | 9c | 337.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Nongshim | 10c | 312$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd4…417ebacked Nongshim | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nongshim | 11c | 293.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nongshim | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nongshim | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Nongshim | 9c | 211.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim | 7c | 208.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Nongshim | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Nongshim | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…d442backed Nongshim | 14c | 104.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked Nongshim | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Nongshim | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.