MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa8c3c0d3afed3addee3d45b141fc63afaefd025ed33084e85e2d231825af54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 53c | 44,914$23,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,804.6 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 47c | 41,613$19,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,054.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 53c | 6,716$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 41c | 5,636$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.68 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Athletics | 45c | 4,333$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.96 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 55c | 3,924$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.58 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 47c | 3,136$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 49c | 2,402$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 54c | 2,389$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.21 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 47c | 1,543$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.24 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 42c | 1,527$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 48c | 1,406$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.03 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 19c | 1,065$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 53c | 971.58$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 47c | 921$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 70c | 827.38$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.64 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 45c | 675.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 49c | 602.94$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Orioles | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 55c | 493.55$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 45c | 446.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 52c | 409.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Orioles | 52c | 351.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Athletics | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 49c | 308.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 47c | 300.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Athletics | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Orioles | 55c | 229.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 49c | 227.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…9a36backed Orioles | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Orioles | 68c | 225$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…c7ccbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…eecfbacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…8250backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…83c9backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…8706backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…32d7backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…d2f9backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…be9dbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…d670backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a429backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.