MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b685e3db08a059498d6eef7b5c6c443371d7a22fbf4650f99ec801d515bfc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 42c | 8,319$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Pirates | 42c | 5,123$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Pirates | 43c | 4,239$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 42c | 3,996$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.5 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Giants | 58c | 3,946$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.32 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 57c | 3,482$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.39 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Giants | 58c | 3,446$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.29 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Giants | 58c | 3,317$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.14 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Pirates | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 60c | 3,150$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.21 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 58c | 3,000$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.91 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 35c | 2,280$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.01 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 44c | 2,040$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.39 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Giants | 44c | 1,976$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.8 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,791$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 43c | 1,733$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 48c | 1,718$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.13 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 58c | 1,375$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Giants | 59c | 1,243$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 58c | 1,179$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,137$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Giants | 58c | 1,123$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.66 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Pirates | 42c | 1,043$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 58c | 1,041$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Pirates | 42c | 988.69$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 10c | 986.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 41c | 951$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 57c | 919.36$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Giants | 57c | 904$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…4893backed Giants | 57c | 887$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 41c | 763.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 42c | 747.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Giants | 33c | 712.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 41c | 709.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Giants | 59c | 704.37$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Pirates | 43c | 699.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 45c | 684.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Giants | 39c | 663.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Giants | 47c | 636.91$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 41c | 612$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 52c | 600$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…6cc5backed Giants | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 36c | 588.89$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Giants | 59c | 516.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 41c | 508.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Giants | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Pirates | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 58c | 459.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 51c | 394.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Giants | 49c | 386.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 41c | 369.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Pirates | 57c | 350.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Giants | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 45c | 302.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Giants | 54c | 299.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 42c | 298$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 67c | 289.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Pirates | 63c | 267.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 41c | 262.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 54c | 260.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Pirates | 59c | 258$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 59c | 247.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 63c | 242.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Giants | 59c | 240$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 42c | 239.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 37c | 233$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 42c | 227.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 45c | 216.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 36c | 210.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Pirates | 59c | 209$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 42c | 208$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Giants | 41c | 183.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Pirates | 56c | 180.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Giants | 57c | 167.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 41c | 166$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.