TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Phillies vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philliesof Phillies, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcce…136abacked Phillies37c45,351$16,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,472.7429240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers63c18,124$11,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,342.581,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Rangers68c14,874$10,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,092.637352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9655053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers63c9,688$6,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,103.8954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers23c8,811$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.6518837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers61c7,405$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.792,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies45c6,652$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.6938047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers55c5,717$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1629,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Rangers62c3,485$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.288042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rangers63c3,477$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.1238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers55c2,792$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.132,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers63c1,840$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.0243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Phillies45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8805642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Rangers70c1,462$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.593636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Rangers15c1,250$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Phillies45c1,208$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Phillies45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rangers65c962$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.7825454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers54c898.45$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers55c833.79$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Phillies45c586.67$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies45c577.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7943247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Rangers55c445.45$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Phillies46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Phillies46c410.74$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.816552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers54c390.14$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6714549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Rangers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rangers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers54c360.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8322142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Phillies44c354.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers14c343.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.146,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies46c326$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.041,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers69c320.36$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Phillies45c299.97$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.981,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers54c249.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies46c230$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rangers67c228.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.213145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Phillies45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers55c216.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rangers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Phillies46c177$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.586354%34 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Phillies36c169.73$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Phillies46c153.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.781,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4354…571fbacked Rangers55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013456.7%76 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers53c123.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.451,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers65c121.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Phillies32c108.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8211637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers33c106.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Phillies46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Phillies46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Rangers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Rangers12c90.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83629.7%6 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Rangers70c89.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.553677.8%28 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Rangers69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4559…ca89backed Phillies45c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.323543.4%102 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Rangers60c65.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.394654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rangers68c58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers68c58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4434164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies45c56.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rangers55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.740629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Rangers56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Phillies35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.530740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Phillies46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Phillies46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Phillies46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4851245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16f…fdcabacked Rangers55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211552.2%60 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Phillies46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0616752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies45c37.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691,30256.7%738 W · 564 L-1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5807…cd4fbacked Phillies45c36.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc384…4ef7backed Rangers56c35.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Rangers56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825854.3%140 W · 118 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rangers74c26.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.389151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Phillies47c24.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1926845.5%122 W · 146 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Rangers60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.927458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.