Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. ThunderTalk Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322ab6b0612db3efdca16af980bc033cd6c9f6d7f0bc94de8750d79408466279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, ThunderTalk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed ThunderTalk | 39c | 37,367$14,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,434.79 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked ThunderTalk | 42c | 26,139$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,867.57 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed NIP | 61c | 22,695$13,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.15 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed NIP | 66c | 15,007$9,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed NIP | 63c | 12,345$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked ThunderTalk | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed NIP | 63c | 11,037$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.02 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed ThunderTalk | 41c | 10,404$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.97 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed NIP | 51c | 6,522$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed NIP | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed NIP | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed ThunderTalk | 36c | 4,726$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.53 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk | 40c | 4,175$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.95 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk | 57c | 4,113$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.92 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed NIP | 60c | 4,070$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.01 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed ThunderTalk | 37c | 4,058$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.29 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed NIP | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked NIP | 77c | 3,445$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.84 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked NIP | 52c | 3,080$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.3 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked NIP | 62c | 2,337$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed NIP | 60c | 2,203$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.21 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NIP | 63c | 1,927$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked NIP | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.18 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed ThunderTalk | 20c | 1,689$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed NIP | 55c | 1,600$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked NIP | 64c | 1,600$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed ThunderTalk | 10c | 1,514$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed NIP | 61c | 1,470$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.24 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed NIP | 59c | 1,237$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.51 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed NIP | 55c | 1,189$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked ThunderTalk | 60c | 1,114$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked NIP | 62c | 1,098$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.41 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked NIP | 64c | 1,018$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked ThunderTalk | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NIP | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked NIP | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked NIP | 61c | 987.03$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.94 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed NIP | 52c | 904.08$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed NIP | 59c | 872.47$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed NIP | 61c | 824.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.59 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed NIP | 60c | 797$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked ThunderTalk | 43c | 733.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked NIP | 56c | 719.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 649.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked NIP | 58c | 620.11$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed ThunderTalk | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked ThunderTalk | 16c | 598.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed ThunderTalk | 60c | 596.05$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked NIP | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed NIP | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed NIP | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed ThunderTalk | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed ThunderTalk | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed ThunderTalk | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 50c | 489.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked NIP | 46c | 462.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked NIP | 64c | 462.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 63c | 407.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked ThunderTalk | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed NIP | 61c | 379.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 58c | 368.67$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked ThunderTalk | 39c | 331.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 306.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NIP | 77c | 300.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed ThunderTalk | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed NIP | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 58c | 287.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked NIP | 71c | 265$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed NIP | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed ThunderTalk | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed NIP | 62c | 242$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ThunderTalk | 27c | 242$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed NIP | 62c | 234.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed ThunderTalk | 37c | 223.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed ThunderTalk | 44c | 219.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed NIP | 60c | 205.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed NIP | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…63c2backed NIP | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…9026backed ThunderTalk | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NIP | 53c | 183.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed NIP | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed NIP | 64c | 169.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed NIP | 62c | 161.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked NIP | 70c | 156$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed NIP | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed NIP | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed NIP | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…c833backed NIP | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked NIP | 41c | 101.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed NIP | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…c797backed NIP | 62c | 91.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed NIP | 46c | 83.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…6607backed NIP | 47c | 82.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…f7dfbacked NIP | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed NIP | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed ThunderTalk | 61c | 73.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.