Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Fnatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99db145ebfc5d73cfeef8da7833678b9bb16764fd11af08d01ec8561de0bbb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Team Heretics, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Heretics | 18c | 8,672$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.75 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 21c | 4,541$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.04 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 3,129$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.34 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 24c | 1,428$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Heretics | 3c | 1,337$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Team Heretics | 17c | 1,059$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Heretics | 15c | 873.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Team Heretics | 16c | 811.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fnatic | 79c | 735.82$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Team Heretics | 12c | 699.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Heretics | 19c | 683.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c828backed Team Heretics | 19c | 668.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Fnatic | 78c | 640.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Heretics | 18c | 549.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Fnatic | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Fnatic | 79c | 365.89$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…bdc2backed Team Heretics | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Team Heretics | 15c | 220.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Team Heretics | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Team Heretics | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Team Heretics | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Heretics | 28c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Team Heretics | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Team Heretics | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…c66ebacked Team Heretics | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Heretics | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fnatic | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Fnatic | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Fnatic | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.