MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8227431ab8239400a45da8d473da623716e749981db7ef2bdd95a18dcf1bb93e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Marlins, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,670,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,665,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,670,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Braves | 49c | 907,989$447,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460,888.63 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Marlins | 54c | 277,509$150,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,066.32 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 49c | 224,763$109,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,250.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Braves | 52c | 160,609$83,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,980.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 49c | 136,114$67,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,260.21 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 49c | 110,000$53,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,900 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 48c | 101,003$48,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,902.95 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 50c | 61,110$30,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,299.45 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 50c | 52,882$26,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,627.78 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 49c | 40,000$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,399.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 51c | 39,842$20,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,700.61 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Braves | 50c | 35,272$17,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,474.55 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Braves | 51c | 27,278$13,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,494.77 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Marlins | 50c | 19,935$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,967.27 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Marlins | 74c | 19,145$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,167.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 50c | 18,498$9,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,162.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 51c | 17,758$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.58 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 51c | 10,685$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Braves | 53c | 9,016$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.56 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Braves | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 8,552$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 49c | 8,491$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.51 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 51c | 7,419$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.24 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Marlins | 48c | 3,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins | 34c | 3,088$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.4 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Braves | 52c | 2,851$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.74 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Braves | 51c | 2,492$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.26 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 52c | 2,262$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.78 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 38c | 2,211$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marlins | 39c | 2,197$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.87 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Braves | 52c | 1,857$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.3 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Braves | 51c | 1,785$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.88 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Braves | 50c | 1,760$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.47 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Braves | 51c | 1,700$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.27 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Braves | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Braves | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Braves | 49c | 1,359$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.99 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 47c | 1,179$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 57c | 1,152$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Braves | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.47 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Braves | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 51c | 909.07$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Braves | 52c | 649.16$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Braves | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins | 33c | 600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Braves | 51c | 562.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 44c | 553.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Braves | 52c | 503.1$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 50c | 485.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 49c | 470$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 51c | 382.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Braves | 52c | 367.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 12c | 360$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 48c | 332.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 49c | 309.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Marlins | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…2688backed Marlins | 76c | 299.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Marlins | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 51c | 213.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.