MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb1c6c6722ff73b9c355d642ad3c59c72ce394fc974e0e597d3a2210ecf53da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 45c | 8,929$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked White Sox | 46c | 5,777$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Guardians | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 56c | 4,606$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.43 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 17c | 4,512$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 45c | 3,727$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 11c | 3,612$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 20c | 3,338$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.71 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 44c | 3,074$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.44 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked White Sox | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,045$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Guardians | 55c | 1,850$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 13c | 1,823$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 11c | 1,691$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 55c | 1,227$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.27 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed White Sox | 19c | 1,099$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 54c | 977.08$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Guardians | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Guardians | 55c | 688$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed White Sox | 46c | 687.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 43c | 547.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 55c | 481.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 22c | 469.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed White Sox | 15c | 405.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Guardians | 56c | 361.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Guardians | 74c | 270.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 46c | 264.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed White Sox | 21c | 228.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 37c | 225$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Guardians | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Guardians | 58c | 210.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 59c | 195$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 54c | 192.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 55c | 189.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Guardians | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 46c | 153.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Guardians | 64c | 140.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Guardians | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…d44bbacked Guardians | 55c | 116.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Guardians | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked White Sox | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox | 16c | 101.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Guardians | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Guardians | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Guardians | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Guardians | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Guardians | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed White Sox | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked White Sox | 12c | 96.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 31c | 91.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Guardians | 55c | 90.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 34c | 87.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Guardians | 73c | 82.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Guardians | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed White Sox | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 79c | 55.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…8f57backed Guardians | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Guardians | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Guardians | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Guardians | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed White Sox | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Guardians | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Guardians | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Guardians | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…183dbacked White Sox | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked White Sox | 45c | 40.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked White Sox | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed White Sox | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…52febacked Guardians | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Guardians | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 55c | 30.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed White Sox | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.