WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f91d866201cffea6fdd413b667dfbb460f56cbb9faa45f92bd41360a1e155c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Sparks, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Valkyries | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Valkyries | 71c | 16,842$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sparks | 45c | 12,620$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.83 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 55c | 4,916$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.88 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sparks | 37c | 4,691$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.14 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Sparks | 54c | 4,484$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sparks | 60c | 4,359$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 37c | 3,811$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.02 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 60c | 3,329$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.87 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 49c | 3,097$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Sparks | 55c | 2,810$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sparks | 42c | 2,613$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Valkyries | 42c | 2,510$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Sparks | 63c | 2,449$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Valkyries | 37c | 2,234$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.92 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sparks | 55c | 2,203$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 42c | 2,050$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 35c | 1,643$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.51 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sparks | 62c | 1,446$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.49 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Valkyries | 47c | 1,389$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sparks | 62c | 1,299$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.51 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Valkyries | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 43c | 450$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Sparks | 63c | 439.68$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Sparks | 62c | 405.84$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sparks | 63c | 388.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sparks | 62c | 387$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 41c | 372.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 48c | 297.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…ef97backed Valkyries | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Sparks | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 68cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Sparks | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Sparks | 64c | 219$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Valkyries | 56c | 214.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Valkyries | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Sparks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Valkyries | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 45c | 182.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Sparks | 55c | 169.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 42c | 166.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Sparks | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks | 63c | 133$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sparks | 64c | 126.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sparks | 62c | 111$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Valkyries | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Valkyries | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Sparks | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Valkyries | 65c | 98.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sparks | 63c | 67.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Valkyries | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Valkyries | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Valkyries | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 45c | 37.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Sparks | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Valkyries | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Sparks | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Sparks | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Valkyries | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.