World Politics · resolved market
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2329fe5080b1dbe831a0fc8ae58863e4fcb163275a910af26ae8cd2c09638600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 1c | 51,337$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 3c | 45,467$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.69 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed Yes | 1c | 43,265$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…da00backed Yes | 0c | 25,300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…a075backed Yes | 17c | 20,936$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 10c | 19,568$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…9b2cbacked Yes | 4c | 12,008$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 5c | 11,707$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…def6backed Yes | 4c | 10,975$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…215fbacked Yes | 9c | 10,818$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…8829backed Yes | 6c | 9,107$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 8c | 8,885$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.66 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 4c | 8,860$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 7,757$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.09 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…5332backed Yes | 6c | 7,350$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…d075backed Yes | 11c | 6,548$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 13c | 6,457$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.74 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…da68backed Yes | 5c | 6,412$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…0bcabacked Yes | 6c | 6,409$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…ea04backed Yes | 7c | 5,600$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…1ea5backed Yes | 1c | 5,232$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…9d74backed Yes | 23c | 5,160$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7674…fb94backed Yes | 6c | 5,079$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f6aabacked Yes | 5c | 5,065$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…c752backed Yes | 6c | 4,991$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 6c | 4,967$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…a4c1backed Yes | 11c | 4,633$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…33b3backed Yes | 14c | 4,258$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 4,196$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 4,122$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.7 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…c8e9backed Yes | 5c | 4,092$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…3ddbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,088$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…481fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,032$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…d5e1backed Yes | 13c | 3,842$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,614$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…47e0backed Yes | 6c | 3,507$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 17c | 3,445$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…f63bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,440$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…a906backed Yes | 5c | 3,378$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…1060backed Yes | 8c | 2,924$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…8fcabacked Yes | 19c | 2,918$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…2628backed Yes | 7c | 2,789$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 7c | 2,710$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…6288backed Yes | 11c | 2,638$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…0dbebacked Yes | 18c | 2,620$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed Yes | 5c | 2,548$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…c1c9backed Yes | 15c | 2,507$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…6658backed Yes | 6c | 2,425$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…b8e8backed Yes | 15c | 2,397$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed Yes | 16c | 2,381$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2c…0707backed Yes | 4c | 2,368$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…5206backed Yes | 4c | 2,367$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…bdb6backed Yes | 5c | 2,364$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…4525backed Yes | 7c | 2,246$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…134ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,213$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…7eaabacked Yes | 6c | 2,125$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…cc66backed Yes | 5c | 2,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…162fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,022$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…d78dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,021$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a8…d95bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,978$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…d549backed Yes | 5c | 1,932$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…56febacked Yes | 16c | 1,851$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…41acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,851$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…bc16backed Yes | 5c | 1,831$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…2040backed Yes | 4c | 1,813$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…341abacked Yes | 11c | 1,810$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 1,768$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1007…17a3backed Yes | 6c | 1,758$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…703abacked Yes | 6c | 1,732$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…d0cbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,662$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…5ff2backed Yes | 8c | 1,649$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes | 12c | 1,636$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…a43dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,627$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…41c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,622$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…d5ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,611$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…0d93backed Yes | 6c | 1,564$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,545$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…7c3bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,510$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…c994backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…21e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,463$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 5c | 1,462$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…250fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,450$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 6c | 1,331$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,277$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…e41fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,273$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…6373backed Yes | 15c | 1,260$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,259$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…7698backed Yes | 8c | 1,247$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…47a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…2c6abacked Yes | 5c | 1,169$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…4adfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,166$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 11c | 1,144$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…9c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,108$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…f5eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,096$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…7d66backed Yes | 7c | 1,091$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…10b8backed Yes | 13c | 1,042$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?this page
- Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes won
- Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No won
- Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.