WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96c6f526672548105a83aee6b5a6a5e7bbb2ad15611a69be69a832ab0cbc2f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Fever, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mercury | 61c | 18,429$11,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Fever | 19c | 15,993$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Fever | 38c | 8,500$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever | 39c | 6,926$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.34 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mercury | 62c | 6,768$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.76 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Fever | 39c | 4,109$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.53 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 39c | 4,055$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.11 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Fever | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mercury | 64c | 3,512$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mercury | 62c | 2,399$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.68 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…e205backed Mercury | 63c | 1,603$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mercury | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…66a1backed Fever | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…df96backed Mercury | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fever | 37c | 1,124$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Mercury | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Mercury | 63c | 1,100$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 30c | 1,012$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Fever | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 76c | 912.49$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Fever | 36c | 899.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fever | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mercury | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Fever | 36c | 658$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Fever | 30c | 600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…792abacked Fever | 39c | 554.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mercury | 63c | 521.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Fever | 31c | 474.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Fever | 36c | 472$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Mercury | 64c | 453$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Mercury | 64c | 447$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…0bdbbacked Fever | 36c | 428$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mercury | 63c | 407.96$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mercury | 66c | 407.86$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mercury | 63c | 392.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Mercury | 73c | 355.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…b8bfbacked Fever | 38c | 347.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Fever | 21c | 342.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Fever | 5c | 312.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mercury | 65c | 309.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Fever | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Fever | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fever | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Fever | 13c | 240$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fever | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 37c | 199.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Fever | 18c | 179.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Fever | 37c | 160.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Fever | 37c | 129$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Fever | 39c | 128.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Mercury | 74c | 124.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mercury | 78c | 111.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…d691backed Fever | 24c | 110.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Fever | 38c | 110.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Mercury | 65c | 107.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Fever | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…fff5backed Fever | 38c | 92.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Fever | 30c | 90.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Fever | 38c | 88.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fever | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mercury | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Fever | 35c | 70.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Fever | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Fever | 36c | 65.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Fever | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Fever | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Fever | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…eaeabacked Fever | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Mercury | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Fever | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fever | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Mercury | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Fever | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mercury | 59c | 38.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Mercury | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Fever | 39c | 37.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…63a1backed Fever | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Fever | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…3453backed Fever | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…3d40backed Fever | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Mercury | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…4815backed Mercury | 64c | 27.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 37c | 27.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Mercury | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…e57fbacked Mercury | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…16e2backed Mercury | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Mercury | 68c | 21.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…0953backed Mercury | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Mercury | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Mercury | 62c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Mercury | 67c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.