Serie A · resolved market
Napoli vs. Inter: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6481f08b7654c0c1e307f66816eab06f93bbc89b653e6c418f5cfb72ec7df8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 53c | 3,351$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.16 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 415.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 48c | 413.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 48c | 247.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 47c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Over | 46c | 66.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…17d2backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Napoli vs. Inter: O/U 2.5this page
- Napoli vs. Inter: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.