La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dce4091d0bc82e5ec3f2ff50784b9160b7784e830ba3cd2519888c1f4643b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 66c | 555$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 357$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 277.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 114.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 62.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 39c | 37.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 26.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…248fbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.