Serie A · resolved market
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc86df2caed7e4d0ab02cd01ec45c550d730a496a150eb045f6221fcb6e4301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…c492backed No | 64c | 7,455$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…d844backed Yes | 36c | 7,448$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 6,077$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.36 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,735$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 35c | 4,357$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.78 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 66c | 4,291$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,060$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 1,012$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.22 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 969.19$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…fb27backed Yes | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…e89bbacked No | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 37c | 769.68$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…e4dabacked Yes | 22c | 767.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…8f66backed Yes | 35c | 631.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 3c | 624.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 37c | 551.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 527.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 34c | 399.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 301.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 13c | 287$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 269.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 33c | 209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 37c | 136.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 133.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 65c | 87.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…c938backed Yes | 37c | 80.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…affdbacked Yes | 37c | 59.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…7d31backed No | 64c | 52.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 35c | 49.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…2fd5backed No | 64c | 49.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…d6b4backed No | 66c | 48.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 65c | 47.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 44.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…fca3backed Yes | 37c | 41.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 34c | 40.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…f994backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…9862backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 28.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Fiorentina vs. Bologna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.