TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Blues40c35,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.999340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights59c23,636$13,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,717.441,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights60c23,405$14,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,373.0247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Blues41c19,952$8,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1435453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Golden Knights60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9819451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blues41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights58c5,051$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.621,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights62c4,873$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.7129651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues39c4,859$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.211,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights59c4,007$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.1262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Golden Knights61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blues39c3,900$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Golden Knights61c3,798$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.8421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Blues42c3,594$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.2914451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues40c3,559$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.982,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Blues40c3,462$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38510456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blues41c3,256$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.9638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights59c3,215$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.7886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues37c3,048$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.691,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues40c3,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blues41c2,893$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.7387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Blues7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751625%4 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blues40c2,488$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.631,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues40c2,200$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Golden Knights59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.95141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues39c2,031$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.061,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f2…f486backed Golden Knights61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights59c1,748$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7115954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights61c1,725$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5943743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues41c1,495$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.951,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues40c1,369$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blues42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52534845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights60c1,245$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights58c1,219$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.271,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Blues40c1,192$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Blues40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Blues42c855$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.14546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Blues40c750$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.55240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a90…7743backed Blues40c617.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2f…36f2backed Golden Knights61c617.05$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.652665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Blues2c599.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.814220.4%29 W · 113 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Golden Knights60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3322555.1%124 W · 101 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Blues42c506.27$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6319942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Blues42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blues7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…4f54backed Blues41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc8…f7b4backed Golden Knights59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blues40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9921147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c99…578bbacked Golden Knights61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffbc…fbc5backed Blues40c480$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Blues40c399.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.834725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Blues40c393.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.310448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Golden Knights59c363.32$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6738744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Blues41c349.85$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4419851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Blues40c334.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.912348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Blues42c332$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4423545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blues41c325$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2525045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfec…685bbacked Golden Knights62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Blues42c309.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304650%23 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Blues40c306.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1610240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Blues41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12314447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blues41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Blues41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Blues42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Blues41c273.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Golden Knights60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Blues40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Blues41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues21c232.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Blues40c229$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blues42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.041,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45cf…e41fbacked Golden Knights60c207.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Blues41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8231047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Blues42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Blues42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Blues41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210236.3%37 W · 65 L-11.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dd9…5daabacked Golden Knights60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues12c192.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights66c179.78$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Blues39c178.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6748452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Golden Knights58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blues12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Blues40c144.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9922443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Blues43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Blues41c122.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.916750.9%85 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc416…8bd5backed Golden Knights59c120.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Golden Knights61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.89444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Golden Knights61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5625050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blues24c103.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Blues25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blues41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Blues40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.