Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Anna Bondar vs Cristina Bucsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490117ee4100fa19752191135f364a14af390d7c298920a25e38cafacbc0a446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucsaof Bondar, Bucsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bondar | 60c | 4,226$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.05 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bucsa | 74c | 3,423$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.71 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bondar | 33c | 2,870$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bondar | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bondar | 45c | 1,802$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Bucsa | 64c | 1,790$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.31 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Bucsa | 64c | 1,522$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bondar | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bondar | 40c | 1,216$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.32 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucsa | 53c | 1,216$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bondar | 36c | 1,124$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bucsa | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucsa | 56c | 856.8$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Bucsa | 39c | 773.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Bucsa | 31c | 638.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bondar | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucsa | 38c | 566.58$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.53 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Bucsa | 50c | 566$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Bucsa | 65c | 552.58$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bondar | 43c | 533.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Bondar | 67c | 493.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Bucsa | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucsa | 33c | 367.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bucsa | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bondar | 36c | 343.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Bucsa | 61c | 329$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Bucsa | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bondar | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Bucsa | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Bondar | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…c146backed Bondar | 46c | 214.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…eaacbacked Bucsa | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucsa | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c7…862ebacked Bondar | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Bucsa | 51c | 186.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Bondar | 23c | 176.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Bucsa | 74c | 169.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bucsa | 45c | 161.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bondar | 32c | 157.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bondar | 48c | 151$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bucsa | 43c | 139.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bondar | 39c | 117.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Bucsa | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bondar | 42c | 95.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Bondar | 62c | 87.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Bucsa | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…e578backed Bucsa | 67c | 80.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Bondar | 16c | 72.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…d53cbacked Bucsa | 68c | 69.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Bucsa | 78c | 64.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bondar | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Bucsa | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bucsa | 18c | 56.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bondar | 35c | 54.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Bucsa | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…301dbacked Bondar | 51c | 52.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Bucsa | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Bondar | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Bondar | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucsa | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Bucsa | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bondar | 36c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Bucsa | 30c | 33.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Bucsa | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed Bondar | 42c | 30.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Bondar | 36c | 30.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed Bondar | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…ac24backed Bondar | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Bondar | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Anna Bondar vs Cristina Bucsathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs BucsaBondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.