TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan State Spartansof Iowa Hawkeyes, Michigan State Spartans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$510,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Michigan State Spartans71c112,936$80,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,880.773641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans70c90,291$63,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,687.662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c78,382$22,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,615.8469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c26,280$7,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,621.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c17,800$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.9935452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Iowa Hawkeyes33c15,210$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.452152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c15,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Michigan State Spartans72c14,000$10,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92811662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c10,352$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.568749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c6,875$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.7512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c6,565$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.377839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c6,400$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c5,391$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.21,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan State Spartans70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50015557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Iowa Hawkeyes1c4,394$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c3,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06536944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c3,270$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.541,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c2,855$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.1812853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c2,600$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c2,315$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c2,014$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec2…f07dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes31c1,810$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c1,785$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.535556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Michigan State Spartans73c1,705$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c1,568$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7232337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans66c1,556$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.192,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c1,547$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes12c1,527$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c1,161$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7414647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans67c1,103$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes28c1,081$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.731,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan State Spartans72c1,028$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.131,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes31c994.73$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c914.83$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4123158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c910.78$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.234829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c850$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.55137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c824.55$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1216341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes36c787.8$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Michigan State Spartans67c746.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Michigan State Spartans71c704.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2211439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a8…432cbacked Michigan State Spartans71c670.65$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c599.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c495.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.332,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c473.43$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.121,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes28c449.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Iowa Hawkeyes26c389$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.141861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Michigan State Spartans70c307.85$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c303.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.433,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Michigan State Spartans68c292.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9412245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54bf…0eb3backed Michigan State Spartans71c281.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.76520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Michigan State Spartans70c279.74$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7519057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c249.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c197.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Michigan State Spartans69c188.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Michigan State Spartans70c139.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Iowa Hawkeyes31c109.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c103.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.959639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3134947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan State Spartans71c91.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Michigan State Spartans71c90.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c88.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.611,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1598…78fcbacked Michigan State Spartans71c87.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.697660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9865825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Iowa Hawkeyes26c70.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4414035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…0921backed Michigan State Spartans71c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a58…d536backed Michigan State Spartans71c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7741554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1860…cea4backed Michigan State Spartans72c66.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…d1dcbacked Michigan State Spartans72c66.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb22…799bbacked Michigan State Spartans71c66.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bf…d0ccbacked Michigan State Spartans71c64.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…46e6backed Michigan State Spartans71c64.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ea…c109backed Michigan State Spartans71c64.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c64.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x326c…5f76backed Michigan State Spartans71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.987346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694b…1e47backed Michigan State Spartans71c60.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322b…a9ddbacked Michigan State Spartans71c60.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes20c59.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Michigan State Spartans71c59.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.618646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5689…9422backed Michigan State Spartans71c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Michigan State Spartans71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.346357.1%36 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada2…d6afbacked Michigan State Spartans71c52.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Michigan State Spartans71c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.831050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…7023backed Michigan State Spartans71c50.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c49.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2030…9714backed Michigan State Spartans71c47.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Michigan State Spartans69c44.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.687626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…ffd2backed Michigan State Spartans71c43.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c43.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.