College Football · resolved market
O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9378baa068985dee33896b6ed511b63de248426a784c117ac1e2a5ac7c0c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 28,885$15,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,476.45 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Under | 47c | 8,931$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.43 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 7c | 6,943$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 3,396$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.34 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 16c | 3,058$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.97 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 46c | 2,818$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Under | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 2,732$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.89 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 16c | 1,977$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 1,084$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.36 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.87 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 962.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 15c | 670$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 18c | 509.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 33c | 445.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 15c | 443$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Under | 49c | 308.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…bd4fbacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 17c | 274.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 262.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 44c | 225$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 208.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 10c | 198.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 12c | 184.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 140.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…8ae4backed Under | 74c | 38.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 43.5this page
- New Mexico vs. MinnesotaMinnesota won
- New Mexico vs. Minnesota: 1H MoneylineMinnesota won
- New Mexico vs. Minnesota: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)Minnesota won
- Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)Minnesota won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.