MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396bcbc0bcbab39f964f94a41d961df79f0ef7408a42232683730519d3a3a45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Eaglesof NC Dinos, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 666.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.35 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 608.13$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed NC Dinos | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed NC Dinos | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 71c | 400.95$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 377.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed NC Dinos | 54c | 360.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 350.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 268.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 47c | 257.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 195.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…1786backed NC Dinos | 52c | 181.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked NC Dinos | 37c | 166.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 20c | 164.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 132.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 48c | 125.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked NC Dinos | 12c | 105.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed NC Dinos | 51c | 103.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 92.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked NC Dinos | 28c | 90.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed NC Dinos | 52c | 60.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 50.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 36.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hanwha Eagles | 62c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 29.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +10.0wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 73c | 28.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…0144backed NC Dinos | 55c | 26.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 70c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.