Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8eb593d432284b49ecc638b7241a4e1c03350e3741400b7236ed9c9762bc579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 33c | 7,381$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.81 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 33c | 5,797$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.03 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 67c | 5,660$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.64 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 68c | 4,097$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.89 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 66c | 2,222$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 32c | 2,193$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.92 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 30c | 1,533$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.84 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 67c | 1,047$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.8 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 66c | 969.83$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 9c | 772.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 493.23$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Over | 6c | 476.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 465.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 32c | 413.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 397.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 69c | 359.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 32c | 305.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Under | 68c | 302.02$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 77c | 254.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 68c | 240.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 70c | 237.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 32c | 191.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 55c | 140.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…2059backed Over | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 62c | 109.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Under | 69c | 89.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 31c | 85.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 27c | 80.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 62c | 78.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 31c | 70.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 44c | 65.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 66c | 53.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 56c | 42.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 31c | 39.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 69c | 32.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 33c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Over | 49c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Under | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…d3b0backed Under | 65c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…31e3backed Under | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.