Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ff901f812477f4adaafbf9f16a9530ce43183104c2f760cf2e04622496a42b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 51c | 8,600$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.49 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 52c | 5,332$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.33 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 50c | 2,006$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.03 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 1,622$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.31 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Over | 49c | 1,553$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 48c | 1,482$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.83 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 48c | 1,018$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.95 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 48c | 1,014$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 51c | 711.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 51c | 633.74$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.53 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 51c | 506.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 47c | 465.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 50c | 450.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Over | 48c | 449.86$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 49c | 435.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…7c84backed Over | 48c | 184.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Under | 55c | 148.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Over | 51c | 102.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Over | 48c | 76.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 51c | 65.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 48c | 65.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Over | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 27.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 50c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.