South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb534f05876488d4aa377a02804d54e2f2faf22d50802c9be9009a64db929c59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 62c | 3,441$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.52 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 62c | 1,879$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.94 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,481$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 38c | 701.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 559.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 62c | 369.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 68c | 359.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 25c | 308.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 291.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 208.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 193.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 171.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 122.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 76c | 115.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 102.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 89.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…c78ebacked Yes | 33c | 87.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 62.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 23c | 61.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 54.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 50.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…1fe3backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 49.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 46.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 41c | 42.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 25c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 76c | 41.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…da8abacked Yes | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked No | 63c | 24.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.