South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221234b97930f2bb30037ef493c163eddfc0b78f9eff30f04e820a9a5e5e81c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 877.66$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 67c | 802.26$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 664.93$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 19c | 640.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 579.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 21c | 473.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.04 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 359.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 24c | 345.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 260.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 217$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 13c | 211.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 196.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 74c | 194.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 168.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 155.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 33c | 152.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 143.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 24c | 136.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 131.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 25c | 128.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 124.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 112.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…869dbacked No | 54c | 98.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 68c | 91.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 72.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 49c | 53.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 50.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 49.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 58c | 49.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 53c | 49.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 67c | 48.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed No | 49c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 26.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 48c | 25.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 43c | 24.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 70c | 24.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 54c | 19.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.