South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e14fed32eb3b6a7adf37d4f489a9a0a88fff5a8866b951f0ccc16728a71d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,335$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,193$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 31c | 1,772$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.47 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.82 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 29c | 1,279$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,004$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 901.08$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 843.15$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 688.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 71c | 396.48$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 361.12$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 30c | 345.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 31c | 309.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 216.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 156.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 31c | 155.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 118.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 109.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 103.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 96.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 29c | 95.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 32c | 76.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 69.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 53.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 28c | 45.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 49c | 45.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 44.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 34.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 78c | 32.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 52c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…1efebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.