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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Karolina Pliskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karolina Pliskovaof Yeon-Woo Ku, Karolina Pliskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee84…becbbacked Yeon-Woo Ku2c2,866$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3623942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Yeon-Woo Ku10c1,746$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.711,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yeon-Woo Ku7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10529028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Karolina Pliskova73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8694968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yeon-Woo Ku6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Yeon-Woo Ku1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Karolina Pliskova62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38025843.8%113 W · 145 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yeon-Woo Ku6c990.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yeon-Woo Ku26c959.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Pliskova68c841.17$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.625,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Karolina Pliskova56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27587837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yeon-Woo Ku41c595.41$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24641645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yeon-Woo Ku28c501.21$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.859,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yeon-Woo Ku43c498.26$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.339,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yeon-Woo Ku33c389.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5264365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yeon-Woo Ku6c371.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.932,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Yeon-Woo Ku43c368.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Yeon-Woo Ku20c333.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7860943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yeon-Woo Ku7c285$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9524928.9%72 W · 177 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Karolina Pliskova78c269.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1629241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Karolina Pliskova61c247.02$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.226,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yeon-Woo Ku7c239.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7920412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Yeon-Woo Ku45c215.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.718937.1%33 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Karolina Pliskova61c211.91$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8398841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Karolina Pliskova67c192.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8519351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Pliskova61c179.6$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yeon-Woo Ku28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4964637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Yeon-Woo Ku48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Karolina Pliskova57c140.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.61,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Yeon-Woo Ku39c125.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8832935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Karolina Pliskova48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.533747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Karolina Pliskova60c92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.581,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yeon-Woo Ku31c90.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.826,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Karolina Pliskova55c66.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.541,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Karolina Pliskova65c65.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0816018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Karolina Pliskova80c57.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.581,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Yeon-Woo Ku60c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2742951.3%220 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Yeon-Woo Ku22c55.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4353539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yeon-Woo Ku38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1938246.1%176 W · 206 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9781…f9edbacked Karolina Pliskova58c43.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.397753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Karolina Pliskova71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Karolina Pliskova58c37.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Karolina Pliskova51c33.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152f…1ee0backed Karolina Pliskova61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Karolina Pliskova46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6159050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Karolina Pliskova61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5916154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Karolina Pliskova67c22.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.453,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Karolina Pliskova57c22.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Karolina Pliskova73c19.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31,09160.2%657 W · 434 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.