CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4bb3e0b9c9a580af009239ab038c284bbde2edc20352f8c248e3678c39183fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, Haunted House
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Haunted House | 20c | 2,407$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.94 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Haunted House | 6c | 1,546$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Haunted House | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Haunted House | 11c | 704.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Haunted House | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 374.69$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Haunted House | 5c | 249.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Haunted House | 12c | 249.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Haunted House | 8c | 242.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Haunted House | 8c | 230.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Haunted House | 18c | 126.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Haunted House | 13c | 125.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Haunted House | 12c | 113.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Haunted House | 27c | 112.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Lynn Vision | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Haunted House | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Haunted House | 17c | 98.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Lynn Vision | 76c | 92.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Haunted House | 19c | 91.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…f17abacked Lynn Vision | 79c | 45.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Lynn Vision | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…5526backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 26.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House - Map 2 WinnerHaunted House won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.