Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55d87e66b691d0eb2092a07244443f81ad0723916ba03c1510ea738e3ca5221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 2c | 59,576$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 9c | 13,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 5,838$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.46 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 9c | 4,933$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.6 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 8c | 3,502$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 10c | 3,238$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,675$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.13 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 2,330$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,184$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,025$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…547fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 9c | 967.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 9c | 939.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 870$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 10c | 640$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 9c | 597.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 9c | 512.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…c077backed Yes | 8c | 512.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked Yes | 10c | 394.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…1180backed Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Yes | 10c | 281$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 10c | 249.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 9c | 236.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 10c | 201.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…7387backed Yes | 9c | 167.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 8c | 163.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…46a2backed Yes | 8c | 139.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.