Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681983bfac1f28229af7ad950ae9f3e2b06efc981623d9eb23bbd6c4b9310440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 18c | 1,600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 19c | 1,237$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 14c | 799.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 18c | 725.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 17c | 722.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 716.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 19c | 390$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 344$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 23c | 329.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 282$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 19c | 274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 80c | 270.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 128.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 18c | 108.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 18c | 83.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes | 19c | 82.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…1a9dbacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.