Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd450f9d5a8bb9c9683c623751c05b1dc8161848300c884fb7c5651fe294859d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b03…71babacked UCLA Bruins | 76c | 3,456$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.92 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCLA Bruins | 69c | 3,424$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 3,046$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.26 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked USC Trojans | 31c | 2,839$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed USC Trojans | 30c | 1,864$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.09 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed USC Trojans | 32c | 1,694$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed USC Trojans | 3c | 1,493$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 1,211$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed USC Trojans | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked USC Trojans | 33c | 1,185$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.09 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed USC Trojans | 10c | 1,184$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCLA Bruins | 68c | 1,152$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.75 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 1,046$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.53 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked USC Trojans | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed USC Trojans | 34c | 889.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 648.94$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UCLA Bruins | 71c | 548.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked USC Trojans | 31c | 450$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked USC Trojans | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed UCLA Bruins | 71c | 397.12$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed USC Trojans | 33c | 326.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed USC Trojans | 6c | 283.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed USC Trojans | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UCLA Bruins | 68c | 247.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed USC Trojans | 30c | 216.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 211.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UCLA Bruins | 71c | 209.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked USC Trojans | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed USC Trojans | 6c | 181.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 174.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed USC Trojans | 32c | 151.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed USC Trojans | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 62c | 132.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 14c | 130.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 69c | 107.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 99.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed USC Trojans | 29c | 98.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed USC Trojans | 31c | 98.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Trojans | 39c | 93.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed USC Trojans | 34c | 72.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 71.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 70.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed USC Trojans | 28c | 68.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 63.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC Trojans | 35c | 59.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed USC Trojans | 29c | 53.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 50.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked USC Trojans | 28c | 43.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed USC Trojans | 36c | 43.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed USC Trojans | 32c | 40.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed UCLA Bruins | 68c | 35.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked UCLA Bruins | 69c | 33.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked UCLA Bruins | 72c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UCLA Bruins | 80c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojansthis page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)UCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)UCLA Bruins won
- UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.