Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e71abce2f3d004dc2e01a2bdf41c81c97a77f88bc7d995a695d1f652b8d9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Wagner Seahawks, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,916 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b03…71babacked LIU Sharks | 73c | 2,742$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.61 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked LIU Sharks | 76c | 2,435$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 2,167$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.09 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 1,964$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.19 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 1,745$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 21c | 1,246$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks | 77c | 1,046$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 1,024$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 571.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LIU Sharks | 73c | 504.4$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wagner Seahawks | 25c | 398.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 349.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 8c | 342.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 331.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked LIU Sharks | 75c | 264.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 242.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 216.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8533backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 185.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 176.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Wagner Seahawks | 25c | 153.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LIU Sharks | 79c | 121.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 108.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 100.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wagner Seahawks | 19c | 97.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 73.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 68.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wagner Seahawks | 25c | 58.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 51.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e295backed LIU Sharks | 63c | 50.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 46.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wagner Seahawks | 30c | 43.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked LIU Sharks | 75c | 33.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharksthis page
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-8.5)Wagner Seahawks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.