Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: LIU Sharks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad4206fb1d31842db0197668d6c9dd10ddedf241f388b00923753809a3cc74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof LIU Sharks, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed LIU Sharks | 47c | 3,500$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.08 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 3,423$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LIU Sharks | 45c | 508.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked LIU Sharks | 46c | 475.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed LIU Sharks | 45c | 299.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 265.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 210.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 193.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 179.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 168.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 110.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed LIU Sharks | 46c | 108.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed LIU Sharks | 46c | 105.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked LIU Sharks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 85.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 53.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 52.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Wagner Seahawks | 57c | 52.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed LIU Sharks | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-8.5)this page
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU SharksLIU Sharks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.