Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c9b8502421eee24291b6cad6da6f286d180a3b999a12b0923085a31aacddca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Purdue Boilermakers, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 20,063$10,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.01 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 13,407$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.34 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 5,367$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.3 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 2,075$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.72 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 1,574$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.31 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 868.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 799.95$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 632.02$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 623.58$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 553.81$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 475.8$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 403.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 304.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 274.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 231.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 43c | 227.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 210.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…1df1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 205.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Purdue Boilermakers | 41c | 192.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Purdue Boilermakers | 44c | 187.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 125.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 94.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 93.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 79.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 76.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 60.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 54.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 64c | 38.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…4271backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 34.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 25.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue BoilermakersMichigan State Spartans won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.